On Sunday, November 16, 2025, at 14:00 UTC, Puskás Aréna in Budapest will host a match that could define a generation of Irish football. With nothing left to play for but survival, Republic of Ireland faces Hungary in a do-or-die 2026 FIFA World Cup qualification match — their final chance to snatch a playoff spot. And as the nation holds its breath, former England international and Paddy Power football ambassador Joseph John Cole has dropped his boldest prediction yet: a 2-1 Irish victory.
The Stakes Are Higher Than Ever
This isn’t just another qualifier. Ireland’s campaign, once written off after early losses, was resurrected by a stunning 2-2 comeback against Hungary on September 6, 2025. Trailing 2-0 at halftime — goals from Dominik Szoboszlai and Andras Schäfer — the Irish squad clawed back with a dramatic stoppage-time equalizer from substitute Ida. That result, described by fans as "the best outcome you could ask for," left Ireland in second place, just one point behind Hungary and one ahead of Armenia — the only other team still mathematically alive for the playoff. Now, with Hungary having just edged Armenia 1-0 in their last outing, the pressure is on Ireland to replicate their resilience. Lose, and their World Cup dreams evaporate. Win, and they leapfrog into the playoff bracket, setting up a tense two-leg tie against Armenia. No margin for error. No second chances.Cole’s Bold Bet: Ireland 2-1
Joseph John Cole, who played for Chelsea, Liverpool, and England’s national team, didn’t hold back in his analysis for Paddy Power. "I did not see that win over Portugal coming!" he said, referencing Ireland’s shock 1-0 triumph over the 2024 European champions. "An unbelievable performance against a team that could be among the favourites to win the World Cup next summer... It sets this one up perfectly." His 17/1 Bet Builder — a multi-leg wager combining outcomes — hinges on Ireland winning 2-1. "The World Cup will be a better place with the Irish there next summer," he added, his tone laced with genuine belief. He pointed to the team’s newfound grit and highlighted a key attacking threat: the player who scored the late equalizer against Portugal, now with 11 shots on target in qualifying — a clear nod to Shane Duffy or Callum O’Dowda, though not explicitly named.The Alternative: Cunneen’s 27/1 Play
While Cole backs the win, fellow Paddy Power analyst Andrew Cunneen offered a more cautious 27/1 Bet Builder: Ireland and Draw (Double Chance), Under 2.5 Goals, Seamus Coleman to be booked, Barnabás Varga to have 2+ Shots on Target. It’s a reflection of the tactical tightrope both teams will walk. Seamus John Coleman, the 36-year-old Irish fullback born in Derry, is playing his last major tournament. "He knows this is it," Cunneen noted. "You can guarantee he’ll be taking a yellow card late when Ireland push up and someone gets behind him." Coleman’s experience, leadership, and physicality make him the emotional anchor of a team that’s suddenly found its spine. Meanwhile, Hungary’s Barnabás Varga — the 25-year-old striker for Ferencváros — is in scorching form. He netted the winner against Armenia and has scored 10 goals in his first 12 league games this season. "He’s the danger," Cunneen said. "If he gets two shots on target, he’s probably scoring."Historical Echoes: Euro 2016 Revisited
The Irish campaign has drawn comparisons to their 2016 Euro qualifiers, when they beat reigning world champions Germany 1-0 in Dublin. That win, like this one, was a turning point — a moment when belief replaced doubt. "Where has this been the whole time?" asked Cunneen in his analysis. "It’s still on." The FAI, headquartered in Abbotstown, Dublin, has quietly rebuilt the squad’s identity — blending youth like James McClean and Conor Hourihane with veterans like Coleman. Meanwhile, the Hungarian Football Federation (MLSZ) has leaned into the firepower of Varga and the creativity of Szoboszlai, who now plays for Liverpool.What Happens Next?
If Ireland wins, they face Armenia in a two-leg playoff in March 2026. A draw or loss ends their run. The match will be broadcast live on RTE2 and via Amazon Prime Video Pay-Per-View in Ireland — a rare moment when a national team’s fate is watched by millions in living rooms, pubs, and even schoolyards. The Puskás Aréna, with its 67,215-seat capacity, will be electric. Hungary, buoyed by home advantage and recent momentum, will come out swinging. But Ireland, riding a wave of belief forged in Portugal and cemented in that unforgettable 2-2 draw, won’t back down.Why This Matters
This isn’t just about a World Cup spot. It’s about legacy. For Coleman, it’s his last shot. For the younger players, it’s their first taste of global relevance. For Irish football, it’s proof that resilience still exists — even when the odds say otherwise.Frequently Asked Questions
What happens if Ireland draws with Hungary?
A draw leaves Ireland in second place, but with the same points as Hungary. Since Hungary beat Ireland head-to-head in their earlier meeting, they’d edge out Ireland on tiebreakers and claim the playoff spot. Ireland’s World Cup dream ends immediately.
Who is the key player for Ireland in this match?
While Joe Cole didn’t name a single star, Seamus Coleman’s leadership and defensive grit are crucial. Offensively, the player who scored against Portugal — likely Callum O’Dowda or Shane Duffy — must replicate that composure. Ireland’s success hinges on a balanced attack and disciplined defending.
How did Ireland turn their campaign around after early losses?
After losing to Germany and Portugal early, Ireland shifted to a compact, counter-attacking style under manager John O’Shea. They began winning tight games — beating Armenia 1-0 and then shocking Portugal 1-0 — proving they could grind out results. The 2-2 draw against Hungary in September was the emotional catalyst.
Why is this match being played at Puskás Aréna and not in Ireland?
The fixture schedule for the 2026 qualifiers was determined by UEFA’s draw. Ireland was assigned to play Hungary away in the final matchday. This isn’t unusual — many teams face critical away games in their final qualifiers. Ireland’s last home match was against Portugal, which they won.
Can Hungary still qualify directly without winning this match?
No. Hungary is currently second in the group, four points behind group leaders Germany. Only the group winner qualifies automatically. Hungary must win this match to reach the playoffs — and even then, they’ll need to win two more games to make it to the World Cup.
What’s the historical significance of this match for Irish football?
Ireland hasn’t reached a World Cup since 2018. A playoff win here would mean their first appearance since 2014. If they make it, it would be only their fourth World Cup since 1990 — a rare achievement for a nation with a small population. This match could reignite national pride in a way not seen since Euro 2016.
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